To have a good understanding of what VXX is full name: Purchase simulation of VXX — Investor outflow cannot decrease the number of outstanding notes since you have to sell your notes to another investor.
The best way to think about the VXX is like a corporate bond whos value is index linked to to the short term VIX futures index. Hi again, I missed that you can redeem early so your are right Vance, sorry. If you look at my other recent post you will see that it is hard to redeem for a private investor.
Also if you look at the net assets of the VXX at yahoo finance you can see that it is 1. If you want I can email you my spread sheet which has collected the information of all VXX issues. Are you not trading the issued notes directly? This value will vary by hundreds of millions because of price changes in the VXX. The NAV yesterday April 28th was Barclays has issued new notes on 27 occasions since inception and raised I have put all the issue dates, size of the issues and the VXX value at the issue dates in a spreadsheet if you are interested.
I rarely ever go long VXX and never during times of serious contango like we are experiencing presently. I would be willing to be the open interest is ppl looking to sell calls. Short VXX on VIX spikes and then sit tight, short more when your position gets too small, and watch the proverbial paint dry. Since it is a money maker for Barclays they will figure out a way to extend it, either by amending it, or opening up a new set of notes.
I wish I have seen this article before I took my position at the pre-split price. Now they are called VXX1 ask. Barclys your a scam business. In this case I would start with. Hi Vance, no offense taken. I am thinking to hold on in case of a major event that might spike the vxx much higher. Thanks for this and many others interesting posts!
Only a question, I see that on investing. Hi Giulio, I called Barclays regarding this. I suspect they will figure out how to move the VXX ticker over to this new fund, but that might be an open issue. How does this instrument still exist except for traders? Seems to me that shorting this thing over the long term is money in the bank. Certainly not for the faint of heart. Hi Joe, For starters you should check out this post: Even if there were a spike like , you would never get back to your cost basis.
You learned a lesson, an expensive one. Your best way to play VXX is to just short a small position and hold until the instrument is closed down, periodically adding when the size becomes irrelevant in your portfolio.
Never held it and sold the options the night of Trump winning. VXX is a day trader if that. Carlos thank you for your concern. Your such a professional. What advice do you suggest for us to buy to recoup our losses? I beg to differ. VXX will always trend down for all the reasons stated in the above article.
I consider spikes in VIX a gift from the market gods. Sell and Hold VXX for sure. As I posted above, you might just consider a short position in VXX. Just be careful with your sizing. An open interest is just an open option contract that is not closed yet: I write an option and you buy it from me — this constitutes an open interest. But i dont think the index it follows is considered a widely quoted market index. For VXX, most of the traders are short-selling, which means the APs are buying and end up with a huge unrealized loss.
Is anything going to happen to their long position? The authorized participant AP involvement is very low risk for them. In the case you mention, where there is a lot of shorting, then the trading price will tend to drift lower than the IV price. This locks in their profit. They close out their positions end of day by presenting the VXX shares they have for redemption.
The APs close out their VIX futures positions at the same time, so the transaction is netted out with a profit. For Exchange Traded Funds e. It can be due to reasons that have nothing to do with the trading demand for VXX. What are those reasons? The VIX future market is like any market, if there is an unusual amount of buying it will tend to drive its prices up. If there was nothing else going on other than this extra-ordinary amount of VXX buying this constellation of hedging choices associated with VIX futures would blunt the impact of the buying on the VIX futures prices.
The wagging tail might move a the dog a bit, but not much. Shorting VIX ETFs is getting widespread attention these days and people are making money, and I find it hard to believe that there is no downside to this trading strategy.
Hi John, Despite all the press if you look at the actual ETP assets under management they are relatively balanced between the short and long funds.
Heavy shorting of shorter term futures tends to increase contango because the associated selling depresses their prices. The downside is simple—volatility spikes can do huge damage to short volatility positions. And intraday run-ups can easily be mitigated by stop-loss orders. If one keeps on shorting volatility during financial meltdown like …well, they have themselves to blame. But we all have plenty of time to get out before that.
Just a silly question, do Authorized Participants intervene during pre-market and after-hours when pricing deviates from the indicative value? How does VXX trade? For the most part VXX trades like a stock. It can be bought, sold, or sold short anytime the market is open, including pre-market and after-market time periods. For more on VXX reverse splits see this post.
Shorting of any security is not allowed in an IRA. Unlike stocks, owning VXX does not give you a share of a corporation. Forget about doing fundamental style analysis on VXX. Every day the index specifies a new mix of VIX futures in that portfolio. For more information on how the index itself works see this post or the VXX prospectus.
What does VXX track? However since there are no investments available that directly track the VIX Barclays chose to track the next best choice: Unfortunately using VIX futures introduces a host of problems. The worst is horrific value decay over time. This drag is called roll or contango loss.
Most people invest in VXX as a contrarian investment, expecting it to go up when the equities market goes down. It does a respectable job with the VXX averaging percentage moves The distribution is shown below: Just hold it or sell? Could it really go to zero? Maybe a little harsh, right? Vance, Thank you very much for your quick yet elaborate response! Makes a lot of sense now. Can you enlighten me? Vance, Sorry for all the words. It would have been clearer to ask: If so, would that be because of the demand for VXX, or another reason?
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